| RMB declining in open market against USD. China issues much debt in USD and pays interest in USD. What should be 1 unit of debt is 6 or 7 units of debt because of currency differential & risk premium. China purchases many imports in USD. To keep RMB well under USD, China must sell USD and buy RMB in open market. This has happened for many years. In sum, as long as China subsidizes domestic market the effect of all of this is not felt to most Chinese. However, this becomes very, very, very, very costly. Look at food prices in China as one example. When there is a rebalance / reconciliation the RMB savings will be hurt. China hopes to prevent this by gold purchase and Belt & Road growth. Very difficult situation. Bad management of economy. |