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by joshuamorton 2508 days ago
That testimony is highly misleading. Taking the highest estimates possible, which are based on essentially a conspiracy theory, the number of influenced voters is much lower than 2 million.

He claims they moved 2.5 million votes, not voters. This relies on an assumption of straight ticket voters and about 20 votes per voter. He doesn't correct people when they make the votes/voters mistake.

And even that new number, 100k voters swayed is not really well founded. He makes a couple of overlapping claims, one of them I looked into deeply and found that using his own papers, a reasonable way of expressing it was that 8-10k additional votes for Clinton was a reasonable upper bound, as he claimed, might be affected.

And the number was likely lower (and was only that high because more people identify as democrat than republican in the US).

(I work at Google, but take interest in this mostly because it's just terrible abuse of mathematics)