[JadeNB]

> Actions that eventually net undesirable consequences are stupid, not brilliant.

I think it depends on how predictable the consequences are (it may be brilliant, or at least smart, to act in a way that offers a small possibility of an undesireable consequence in return for a large possibility of a highly desireable one), and on how long the time horizon is (it may be brilliant, or at least smart, to act in a way that offers certain undesireable consequences much later in return for certain desireable consequences for a long time before that). To overstate the objection, all actions eventually result in death, which is presumably undesireable.

[jaclaz]

Carlo M.Cipolla to the rescue, The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carlo_M._Cipolla

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carlo_M._Cipolla#/media/File:C...

[anonytrary]

> small possibility of an undesireable consequence in return for a large possibility of a highly desireable one

Exactly, so the expectation value is net desirable. I wouldn't consider that stupid.