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by btrettel 2518 days ago
The risk of cycling depends on many different factors and is not simply described as "way more risky than using a car".

Per distance, the average cyclist has more risk than the average driver. However, that's just the base rate, and is not destiny. Combine that with the fact that cyclists tend to travel much shorter distances than drivers. So much shorter that based on distance alone I've seen some cyclists argue, with statistics for average cyclists no less, that they actually face less risk on the road than many drivers. You don't see drivers with long commutes getting warned about the danger, but if people treated driving the same as cycling you would.

There are many things cyclists can do to reduce their risk per mile. As I recall, the majority of cyclist deaths involve riding after midnight or riding when drunk. If you don't do either then your risk is a lot lower. I've been riding for over a decade now and recognize the importance of where you live, infrastructure, defensive cycling, visibility gear (lights, vest, reflectors, etc.), and even a simple air horn.

Also recognize that cycling gets safer every year on average, even in the US. At some point I looked at the data and recognized that the cyclist mortality rate in the US is decreasing roughly linearly. If the linear trend continues then there will be roughly zero cyclist fatalities in 2050. Of course, it's more likely to taper off. But I never see the fact that cycling is becoming safer every year mentioned by its detractors.

Brief discussion of the data here:

https://predictionbook.com/predictions/133189

With all of this being said, yes, I do believe that cycling is more risky than I'd like. The reason why appears to be that the majority of road users (mostly drivers) do not take safety seriously. In my experience the road users who take safety the most seriously tend to be either cyclists or motorcyclists. No surprise why.