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by _bhlv 2519 days ago
Re: Giving every Taiwanese citizen a MANPAD.

Of what use are MANPADs against the Ballistic Missile salvos which China is guaranteed to use in crippling Taiwan's air bases and air defense units? or against the J-10s, J-11s, Su-30s, & Su-35s which would be used to leisurely destroy aircrafts parked at crippled air bases and every single high value target on the Island? Of what use will they be against the literally thousands of Short Range Ballistic Missiles pointed at Taiwan. Or against the ASBMs & ASCMs that China has diligently developed or acquired for the sole purpose of sinking or are at the very least, significantly damaging large warships far off its coasts.

An Asia War will NOT be Afghanistan 2.0. It would be a war whose success would be determined almost entirely by the Air Force and the Navy, NOT by the Army.

You are viewing a war with China, a neer-peer power, through the lens of the Afghanistan & Iraq conflicts. You forget that Aircraft Carriers would be useless, planes would be fighting in highly contested airspace, and our soldiers would be fighting for the first time in modern history, without guaranteed air cover (a terrifying notion if you've ever being on the receiving end of an aerial attack).

Like they say, don't train your military to fight the last war. Cause the next major war will almost certainly not be like the last one, so fantasies of handing every Taiwanese a rifle, should remain completely speculative, save for the purpose of mounting an insurgency campaign against a possible occupying force.

P.S. Forgive me if I sounded pissed, just that I'm tired of armchair war enthusiasts who are seemingly unaware of what it would take to fight, let alone win, a war with a major power, and the extraordinary costs in personnel and materiel that fighting such a war would entail. Heck if it ever came to that, we'd have a hard time defeating India, not to talk of China.