[jlawson]

  1932 neutron discovered
  1942 first atomic reactor
  1945 fission bomb

Now for AI

  1897 electron discovered
  1940's vacuum tube computers
  1970's integrated circuits
  1980's first AI wave fails, AI winter begins
  2012 AI spring begins
  2019 AI can consistently recognize a jpeg of a cat, but still not walk like a cat
  ???? Human level AGI

It doesn't seem comparable one way or the other, in many ways. But if we do compare them, AI is going much slower and with more failure, backtracking, and uncertainty.

[throwawaywego]

    1943 First mathematical neural network model
    1958 Learning neural network classifies objects in spy plane photos
    1965 Deep learning with multi-layer perceptrons

    2010 ImageNet error rate 28%
    2011 ImageNet error rate 25%
    2012 ImageNet error rate 16%
    2013 ImageNet error rate 11%
    2017 ImageNet error rate 3%
    2019 Pre-AGI

[idlewords]

Beer * beets * bears * Battlestar Galactica

[polm23]

what?

[idlewords]

BEER * BEETS * BEARS * BATTLESTAR GALACTICA