[thrax]

I think there is a lot of evidence that explosive progress could be made quickly. Alphago zero, machine cision, sentiment analysis, machine translation.. voice.. etc etc etc

All these things have surged incredibly in less than a decade.

It's always a long way off until it isn't.

[nradov]

Those are all impressive technical achievements to be sure, but they don't constitute evidence of progress toward AGI. If I'm driving my car from Seattle to Honolulu and I make it to San Diego it sure seems like I made a lot of progress?

[ekianjo]

> I think there is a lot of evidence that explosive progress could be made quickly. Alphago zero, machine cision, sentiment analysis, machine translation.. voice.. etc etc etc

Not at all, these are all one-trick poneys and bring you nowhere close to real AGI which is akin to human intelligence.