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by nostrademons 2527 days ago
A lot of those geographic reasons to exist will probably cease to exist in the next 50 years, as global warming opens up new shipping lines, makes previously verdant areas uninhabitable, makes uninhabitable deserts verdant, changes ocean currents, remakes national borders, and prompts large & powerful cities to divert rivers away from weaker and wetter ones. Containerization already led to large shifts in the fortunes of some port cities, and that was just a technological development that encouraged deepwater ports. Imagine if the sea lanes themselves change.

I can see Northern Canada becoming an enormous boom area in 50 years, with the opening of the Northwest Passage for Asia <=> Europe trade, the need for resupply cities along that sea route, and the melting of the permafrost opening up parts of the tundra to agriculture or tar sands mining. Meanwhile, Florida and New Orleans may be underwater.

2 comments

TN gets tons and tons of rain. High elevation areas, although somewhat hot, will be climate change winners. Nashville is about as far away from desert or flooding as you can get.

Although NYT told me Duluth, MN was the big climate change winner :) (fyi- I've been there; it's cold af)

> makes uninhabitable deserts verdant

Is that likely? I wasn't aware of any predicted reversal of desertification. It may render some tundra provinces verdant however.

That's cherry-picking though. The Gobi desert is expanding very quickly, as is the Sahara into Sudan. The Chihuaha desert also is expanding in Texas, I'm sure there are many other examples. Maybe deserts will in general become greener, but for human aspirations they still seem to be deserts. The greening is problematic because it raises dew points and makes theses areas less habitable for humans.