I would argue that does affect the market’s aggregated value a lot. Investing in China could become more risky than investing in the Philippines, Brazil or India in the future simply because you can better estimate how your capital will interact with political policy.
Dilma Rouseff’s impeachment gave investors more confidence in Brazil for example because they could count on the system actually keeping checks and balances on ambitious individuals. The same can definitely not be said of China.
>Investing in China could become more risky than investing in the Philippines, Brazil or India in the future simply because you can better estimate how your capital will interact with political policy.
On the other hand, investing in China could have you get guaranteers by politicians that they'll help with your investment, even bypassing the market rules in your favor, making it much more profitable to invest there.
So you might not get much competition, but you still get highly successful investments.
It's not like western economies don't get too monopolistic and lobby-powered all the time (Amazon, Google, Facebook, and co).
Those politicians who promise you the world are humans and in the long term humans switch jobs, switch political stance, mess up and get fired, get sick or die. Hinging your investment on specific politicians is more risky than hinging it on systems.
Dilma Rouseff’s impeachment gave investors more confidence in Brazil for example because they could count on the system actually keeping checks and balances on ambitious individuals. The same can definitely not be said of China.