| > You still like patterns? I like patterns, do you have some? > China artificially props up the US economy via bonds/debt/investment I don't believe you can support that claim. The US economy is far larger than the Chinese economy and far wealthier. The US consumer is far wealthier and far larger than the Chinese consumer. That also includes the US equity markets being far larger and the US bond markets being far larger. Further, US manufacturing is also not dramatically smaller than China's manufacturing sector and their manufacturing has already peaked. China's holdings of US treasuries and US debt in general is entirely trivial. It's so small now the Fed could wipe it out with a modest round of QE and the dollar would hardly notice (especially since the dollar is very strong right now). It becomes more trivial by the day as China's holdings have been stagnant for many years, the US economy continues to grow larger in real terms, and the US Government's debt continues to expand (reducing China's relative share; their relative share has plunged over the past decade). Since late 2009 / early 2010, China's US treasury holdings have not net expanded. In inflation adjusted terms, they've contracted considerably (by at least 20-25%). In that time the US economy has added an economy the size of Germany + France (about ~$7 trillion non-adjusted). China is less critical to the US today, than at any other time in the past decade. That is especially true given their imports of US goods are not very considerable and have not expanded in about eight years (a time during which the US added ~$5.x to $6 trillion to its GDP, even further reducing China's real import contribution value to the US economy). |