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by MoveMyMobile 2565 days ago
War probably. The issue with disconnecting our economy from China is there will no longer be anything stopping a full fledged war in the South China Sea
5 comments

A direct war (even conventional warfare, which can quickly escalate) between nuclear-armed states could be the demise of mankind. Please remember that.
It wouldn't be a direct war in the sense everyone is thinking. The US has several strategies published regarding war with China with the most likely strategy being one of containment, not outright invasion. I'm saying that the open markets and globalization that has happened over the last several decades (And is now being reversed) is the reason we have had relative peace (No war between larger powers) since WWII
I don’t think so. That would be akin to the USSR falling for SDI and our military build up. I mean, if they took that approach it would be very counterproductive to their progress.
Absolutely nobody wants open war between nuclear superpowers.

Endless, nebulous, low-intensity wars in third-world nations, or proxy wars like Korea and Vietnam, sure. Those feed jingoism without endangering the ruling class or their interests. What you're talking about is very different. Even the most callous leader really doesn't want to find out what happens if they start World War III.

Why do people think I'm asking for war with China? Obviously nobody wants it but also you shouldn't bury your head in the sand and ignore the consequences of the US and China separating their economies. Trade and business between the US and China is what has been preventing any new war. We were at war with China in Korea and that was fairly recently. It would be a proxy war and would probably happen in Taiwan, Korea, etc. with both the US and China arming and supporting different sides
This is not WWII anymore. An open war between two nuclear powers like the US and China would be the end of the world as we know it. This would not be a win to the US or to anyone else. Moreover the Chinese are not pushing for war in any way.
It wouldn't be outright war but be one of containment. Most likely fought through proxies such as Taiwan. As in just like every other war since WWII
"there will no longer be anything"

Nuclear weapons and MAD?

Not really. We got lucky last time. It is not given. Given the advantages the U.S. has over nuclear weapons, there is a big asymmetry here (not to say symmetry is more stable, but to layman's eye it intuitively feels so).