[TheSpiceIsLife]

My point is: you’re confusing catastrophe with recession.

In a food supply halting catastrophe we’ve got problems, catastrophic problems.

A recession that hits any significant portion of the population will have political-will to find alternative outcomes, and probably won’t happen with the rapidity catastrophes are usually associated with. Eg. food aid, wealth redistribution, easy / no-interest credit, government jobs.

I’m not saying any and every political outcome won’t result in a catastrophe, but every food halting catastrophe is, by definition, a massive catastrophe.

You may have a wider point though: just in time manufacturing / delivery in the food industry means probably most of the world is a few meals away from panic.