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by Steel_Phoenix 2572 days ago
You seem to have a good grasp of this. Do you have any thoughts on the effects this will have?

If China is discounting their goods, and consumers are paying for the tariff as taxes, then there is additional strain on China's ability to compete, which might bring back industry here, but more likely to Mexico, which is now getting the same treatment.

US taxpayers are basically now paying a more efficient form of taxes, since it's a tax on behavior we want to reduce, and it's largely offloaded from the consumer by the Chinese price reduction.

On the other hand, I only like tariffs to offset anti-competitive tactics. Given a little time, government will get hooked on the revenue source and US manufacturers will get soft from having hobbled competition.

1 comments

I think you see it pretty well. I share your concern about US industry getting soft, but overall I think bringing back industry is a worthwhile endeavor. The jobs are good. The ability to resist supply shocks (for example an embargo, such as when China cuts rare earth access) is important for national independence. The government will be hooked on one revenue source or another, and this is probably one of the better choices.

The US has been in denial of anti-competitive tactics. This has been a problem from day #1 with China. We always get promises of otherwise, and we always get the same anti-competitive tactics, and until recently we do nothing about it.

Mexico is other problems. Getting Mexico to care about the problems has been difficult. Perhaps this will get them to care.