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by eb3c90 2585 days ago
It depends how much you worry about society going south because of climate breakdown (and how much you expect AGI to help or worsen the situation).

My current view is that the current political hot potato status of AGI means it won't be developed anytime before the climate crisis really kicks in. At this point fiat money becomes worthless due to emergency measures. Your best bet now to help your future self is to spend to prepare civilisation/your country/your neighbourhood/yourself for the ordeal.

Also due to the current political hot potato nature of AGI I would expect it to be seized/controlled by governments if anyone gets anywhere near close to developing it.

So I see little upside for investing and likely having a reduced capacity for adaptation if you do invest. You may have different ideas about the speed of development or badness of the climate breakdown though.

1 comments

I say we still have to try. Mankind won't get another shot at it.
Trying for agi could be part of a reasoned response to climate breakdown.

But I am not going count on getting a reasoned response any time soon.

The reasoned response to climate breakdown is to start taking it seriously at a global level.

AGI could help with that by culling humans, or at least seriously constraining human behavior. We're perfectly capable of doing that ourselves, although such behavior tends not to be popular.

Realistic scenarios in which AGI solves climate change for us, in time, seem highly unlikely.

> The reasoned response to climate breakdown is to start taking it seriously at a global level.

Agreed! That should be the number one priority.

I also agree that it is unlikely that AGI will fix climate change for us in time.

What it might help with is adaptation. If all our attempts in trying to control the giant intricate set of climatic and ecological feedback loops we are disturbing don't work, then it might help us with designing appropriate technologies to cope with what the world has become.