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by maze-le
2608 days ago
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>> Intelligent life happened here, it must happen again somewhere else. This should be made axiom really. You/we/whatever is not unique in the universe. We don't really know the probability of abiogenesis (let alone artifacts from that process leading to intelligent life). If it is sufficiently improbable -- 1 / 10^22 per star[0] -- it may very well be that we are the only ones in the observable universe. The universe is pretty darn big, but life is also pretty darn complex, and its emergence from amino acids and "simple" organic chemistry is not very well understood. Unless the factors of abiogenesis are sufficiently well known, we shouldn't make such predictions either... ----- [0]: once per (100 * 10^9 stars in the galaxy times 100 * 10^9 galaxies per hubble volume). |
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> We don't really know the probability of abiogenesis
Abiogenesis is only one way to look at it. What about intelligent design ? Probability it is relevant is 100%, given that humans are one of those IDs already (created polio virus).
So again, most are having tunnel vision about this topic given our constraints and limitations on this planet.