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by arkades
2611 days ago
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> Where's the evidence that doctors see a 80/20 split in real life? Cause they definitely don’t. Even in a select subpopulation - say, people going to a derm for screening - you’d expect one melanoma per 620 persons screened (as per the SCREEN trial). Since most people have more than one mole for evaluation, and even those with melanoma will have multiple innocent moles... a mole count >50 triggers a referral for screening, though in more cautious docs, possibly as few as 25... If you wanna be really generous and consider our hypothetical high risk group to have an average of 10 moles per person, that’s 6209:1, not 80:20. |
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