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by ketsa 2620 days ago
What Bust? I mined bitcoins for a few weeks years ago and their value today makes me happy...
3 comments

It's all relative to something. During the Wall Street crash in 1929, Dow fell down only ~30%. Bitcoin lost ~70% from the peak. It's definitely a bust. (as in fall in value / no growth) You could say instead that it's just back to normal value after a period of abnormal pricing - but then what kind of asset has so much uncertainty that people can pump up the price 4-5x for months?
Maybe it’s higher variance and higher expected value than the stock market. I don’t believe that but it’s certainly a conclusion you could draw from the price action. The overall return since inception is much better than the stock market at any similar time frame in history, even after multiple >50% pullbacks.
A single entity having higher variance than the average growth of the entire measured economy is not surprising.
" The 2008 crisis didn't happen because my dollars are still worth more than in 1831 "
Whoever told you that your dollars are worth more than in 1831 should not be trusted...
To be fair, the article is a lot better than the title suggests.