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by Hello71 2637 days ago
except there's no need to make shit up, the CBP conveniently also publishes statistics regarding the total number of apprehensions every year, broken down by month. unlike you, who presumably got the information from Trump on Twitter, I will post my source: https://www.cbp.gov/sites/default/files/assets/documents/201...

the total number of apprehensions every year for the past 12 fiscal years has been less than 1 million per year. and no, you cannot assume that the number of people of people that didn't get apprehended is some arbitrarily selected multiple of that number, because one, reputable sources estimate that the number of actual individuals entering the country is on the same order of magnitude as the number of apprehensions (because many people are apprehended more than once), and two, because that's completely moronic.
2 comments
thatoneuser 2637 days ago
Sigh. So where's your source that apprehensions ~= illegal entries? Intuitively it makes sense to me that more people get in than are caught, but I don't have data. Nor do I see how you can accurately count the number of people you didn't catch...
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Hello71 2637 days ago
https://www.gao.gov/new.items/d06770.pdf via https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illegal_entry#United_States
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YeahSureWhyNot 2637 days ago
that's exactly what I said. Approx 70k per month comes out to approx 840k per year. THATS ONLY THE ONES WHO GOT ARRESTED. You can assume less than half got away without being arrested and you get a number that passes a million.
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nl 2637 days ago
In no month has 70k been apprehended. The maximum was 66450 (so you are taking the max, rounding it up an projecting using that..)

Also the person you are replying to pointed out that this included people apprehended more than once.

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