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by JumpCrisscross 2633 days ago
> it takes actual resources to make things for people to consume

Value is subjective. Energy intensity of global GDP has been falling for decades [1]. Where I've seen estimates, it looks like material intensity has been doing the same.

Broadly speaking, most countries won't have a reserve currency. Neither their demographics nor economy can support it. But some countries punch above their weight. Canada, Switzerland and Japan have outsized influence for (a) being trading economies with lots of buying power (i.e. lots of overseas vendors end up with their currency) with (b) limited or no history of currency controls (i.e. people aren't in a rush to swap out of the currency, for fear of it getting trapped), and (c) stable governments and central banks.

Given (b) requires free capital flow, which through the impossible trinity [2] means giving up a fixed exchange rate or monetary sovereignty, reserve currencies aren't something most countries may even want. Using dollars tends to be fine. Having alternatives in Europe and China is probably for the best, for everyone, in the long run.

[1] https://yearbook.enerdata.net/total-energy/world-energy-inte...

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Impossible_trinity

1 comments

The energy/material intensity of global GDP has probably been falling because most of the GDP actually is generated by way of massive unaccounted debt piling up.
> energy/material intensity of global GDP has probably been falling because most of the GDP actually is generated by way of massive unaccounted debt piling up

Real energy intensity is falling. This is because of both increasing efficiency and [1] a greater fraction of demand being explained by immaterial factors [2].

In any case, leveraging an economy doesn't directly change its energy intensity. If it costs X kcal to produce $1 of goods, it doesn't matter if those goods were paid for with cash or credit.

[1] https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/13149/1/MPRA_paper_13149.pdf

[2] https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0140988382...