[scott_s]

Who is participating in the betting markets? Are these people perhaps more likely to personally like certain candidates more than others? When the market is relatively small, this question matters. I'm skeptical of the betting markets for this reason, as I think the participants skew heavily to a particular demographic.

[azernik]

If you need any indication of the irrationality of the betting markets, look for the Q conspiracy theorists betting on indictments on people like James Comey and Hillary Clinton.

[brm]

weight of money has an effect on odds but the bookmakers are still the ones setting them.