[essayist]

Kevin Drum has tracked this in detail. He wrote this in 2018:

"It’s important to emphasize that the lead-crime hypothesis doesn’t claim that lead is solely responsible for crime. It primarily explains only one thing: the huge rise in crime of the 70s and 80s and the equally huge—and completely unexpected—decline in crime of the 90s and aughts."

https://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2018/02/an-updated-le...

[NoodleIncident]

Most of the article, but especially the section labeled "Pet Theories" reminds me a lot of this recent XKCD. In the Biffco timeline, everyone has an explanation for how things got as bad as they did, and none of them are a time traveling sports almanac. Seems to be the same way for lead poisoning, for some people at least.

https://xkcd.com/2104/

[rhizome]

"How do you know you're not just a victim of unknowable facts?" is a bad argument.