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by barry-cotter 2646 days ago
> The whole point of the article is there is zero correlation between people who've graduated from college and people who haven't in term of how well they do on the job.

... among the population who have been hired to do the job. This is conditioning on the collider. The people without a degree who got in are a highly selected sample compared to all people without degrees. Anyone who used this to argue that a degree wasn’t a strong useful signal Wouk be making the same mistake as those trying to get rid of the GRE in graduate admissions because in the population admitted the GRE doesn’t predict anything. If it did that would show under or overweighting ofbthe signal it sends. Zero correlation shows it has been given appropriate weight.

1 comments

> Anyone who used this to argue that a degree wasn’t a strong useful signal

Reread the title of the article.

The question is whether an individual would benefit from college even if everyone's college was enrollment/graduation status was kept secret from everyone, even classmates.

The same question would apply to pre-college education.