| I disagree about it being within a factor of 2, at least for this year. Consider the following: * In January, the $7500 Federal Tax Credit became a $3750 Tax Credit for Tesla. The $3750 tax credit will be halved again some time this year. * The price of the M3 has been in flux: the $35,000 car has been released, there were $2000 price drops (in reaction to the tax credit), and other issues. * The M3 was a preorder vehicle: many people put down $1000 reservations, but its difficult to measure exactly which vehicle they wanted (a lot of them seemed to be waiting for the $35k version). Attributing the sales to preorders vs sales conversions is clearly a difficult problem. * The M3 availability fluxuated grossly, based on Tesla's ability to produce it. You may be waiting 6+ weeks for a M3 if you ordered in 2018, but only 2 weeks if you ordered more recently. Simple knowledge of the decreasing wait time would spur many to purchase in of itself. * Consumer Reports, and other major review magazines, released reviews which almost assuredly changed sales numbers. The sales are just not stable enough on a month-to-month basis to do what you're suggesting. |