[j0057]

Hey dwd, your link suggests that fertility rate is indeed on the decline to around 2 children per woman, whereas it's higher that currently, especially in less developed parts of the world. That doesn't contradict the video by Hans Roslin, does it? The video doesn't mention birth rate as such, but he does mention that the number of children is not expected to change. I know from his other presentations that he does (did) indeed expect the fertility rate to fall to a little more than 2, as it does in every developed country.

[dwd]

The decrease due to an aging population is a major factor.

The change in birth rate will further compound that decrease. There are also other factors such as changes in lifestyle where increasing numbers of younger generations are foregoing parenting all together.