| Some side-effects I predict these changes will have: - With reduced pre-sale tickets available, there will be increased pressure on main-sale tickets. - With increased pressure on main-sale tickets, the percentage on first time attendees will skew downward even more, I believe around 30-30% of attendees on avg within the last couple years are first timers. - There will be more pressure to form or join a theme camp, with more focus on DGS ticket sales, which are issues to theme camps in good standing, for the following year they attend. - With increased demand for theme camps, the average size of theme camps will probably increase as they compete against each other for more interactivity in order to get placement, and have more revenue to out produce other camps. - Open Camping(non-theme) will probably decrease in the amount of land available, as the Burning Man org tries to off set the demand. - Open Camping is still very important to the core culture and principle of radical expression and radical self-reliance. I predict that BM org will lobby the Nevada government for more population count past the 70,000, AND change the layout to enable a larger density of theme camps. |
pre-sale tickets were always a much smaller percentage than main sale though, and were always priced significantly higher. So, they were bringing in a more affluent populace than the average burner.
> - With increased pressure on main-sale tickets, the percentage on first time attendees will skew downward even more, I believe around 30-30% of attendees on avg within the last couple years are first timers.
The pressure has been sky-high for years now. That's why main sale always sells out within an hour or less. That's also why so many theme camps had real issues in the last few years actually being able to get their core members in to make the camps even possible to run (and, I assume, that is the issue that DGS is meant to alleviate).
I honestly doubt that the theme camp participation is going to significantly change due to this. Open camping is still the vast, vast majority of the attendees. Running or participating in a theme camp is a ton of work that most people are not able or willing to do, and I'd be very surprised if that changed in any statistically significant way. But I guess we'll see!