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by runeks 2692 days ago
Predicting the success of a certain technology (the Lightning Network) and the price of something are two completely different things, though.
1 comments

You don’t think that these two things are correlated?
Many crypto communities have been trying very hard to disconnect the two (price from success) in the public’s conscious. Which has some legitimate arguments in it’s favour. My view, and I don’t have much of a horse in this race, is that price may be one contributing metric but it’s a weak one to use as the only metric.

There’s tons of work involved in getting adoption for the tech happening in the background that is disconnected from the price. Especially considering how many people are speculating with it using vague public indicators (like media hype) without much direct connection to the value it’s producing.

Not to mention the unpredictablity of it’s long term value of an entire tech is far harder to predict than it is a companies value via stock price.