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by paganel 2726 days ago
> Why write a book at all if it says "we don't know"?

Related to this, someone commented on the /r/AskHistorians discussions linked by the article [1]:

> What I like about history is that it teaches you humility. Even if you spend years researching a small topic, there will be so much that you don't and never will know. Political science is the opposite with lots of helicopter opinioning. New crisis in Mali? Here I come with my insta-factoids and world explanations

The fact is that around these parts of the world (Eastern Europe - The Balkans) people have started wars and a lot more people have died as a result of those wars, only because one hundred years ago some historian just couldn’t say “we just don’t know” after dedicating all of his career to a specific topic (like “who was the first one between populations A, B and C to have occupied this land?”). In the meantime historians have smarten up a little, it’s not all black and white, there are a lot of “maybes”, of “we need more data to answer that question” or even “this question will probably never be answered in a satisfactory matter”.

Meanwhile, I’m pretty sure people are dying at this very moment because, like you said, some political scientist or economist just couldn’t say “we don’t know” or even “it’s complicated”.

[1] https://www.reddit.com/r/AskHistorians/comments/16zhk7/as_a_...

1 comments

That's not history vs political science, that's academic research va public policymaking.
“Public policymaking” treats a lot of the present political science and economic discourse as, well, established and tested science, hence all the troubles I mentioned. The same thing used to happen to history, there were a lot of past political decisions taken only because an historian had written a good book or two about a specific subject, but fortunately for historians that train has passed. That partially happened thanks to people like Popper writing about the “Poverty of historicism” and about how we shouldn’t treat history like a “hard science” and especially how we shouldn’t take important policy decisiond based on what history says or doesn’t say, I feel that economics and public political science also need their Popper moment.