[catechu]

I don't think Jobs is concerned about retrospectively predicting the successes he had. Rather, I think he wants to emphasize their inherent unpredictability, together with the assertion that such unpredictability doesn't matter. So it's not quite hindsight bias.

[michael_dorfman]

Actually, Jobs is paraphrasing Kierkegaard, who wrote "Livet skal forstås baglaens, men leves forlaens" (Life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forwards), and then advocated "Springet" (the Leap, usually translated as "the Leap of Faith".)