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by pavs
2744 days ago
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The problem itself is difficult and the cost of making mistake is high. Thats why the progress is relatively slow. Also, at least to my opinion, its not very clear that the market is big enough. Its highly unlikely that one single company can monopolize the market as there are quite a few rich companies with deep pocket and extremely talented team are investing in the same space. If more than a dozen companies comes out with very similar performing self-driving solution. The markey may not be big enough to recoup the investment into this technology. For the longest time I thought waymo was way ahead of everyone else - but the nature of their slow and passive progress in to the market doesn't give me a lot of confidence in their abilities. They have a hardtime in relatively peaceful streets of developed world, how will technilogy work on the streets of developing countries where most people live? I think the problem is extremely hard. And it will take a lot longer than most people initially though it would. |
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