[pitaj]

My claim is not positive. My claim is that employer provided insurance is unlikely without government involvement. That is a negative claim.

Your claim is the opposite. You can prove it by showing that employer provided insurance started growing before the given government involvement.

I doubt that evidence exists.

[vec]

I don't dispute that the current status quo emerged as a direct result of government intervention. Again, I agree with you that it can be traced back to WWII era wage controls.

My claim is that, once established, the resulting equilibrium is economically stable. Your claim, as I understand it, is that it's not.

Given that the price controls that we agree created the current status quo were replaced by significantly less coercive tax incentives decades ago and to the best of my knowledge the industry hasn't attempted to realign away from employer-provided insurance since then, I don't see a reason to privilege your hypothesis over mine.