[manfredo]

If it's a projected price, then the original commenter is still screwed if the birth becomes complicated. It's still a slot machine. Furthermore, it would incentivize sketchy practices like setting a lower base price than competitors but aggressively discovering (or manufacturing) complications so that the average price is considerably higher than the base price.

[Johnny555]

Not necessarily, it could be the hospital that gets screwed, they can eat the extra cost of the complications -- that could be factored into the base price, add X% to the bill account for the slight possibility of an unexpected complication.