| > You also incur some inflation risk. Every dollar-denominated investment incurs inflation risk, including any sort of cash account like a dollar saving/checking account. > If you're investing in the treasuries via an ETF or via a broker, you are incurring additional counterparty risk. That counterparty risk is exactly what SIPC insures. > Investing in a 10 or 20 year bond is obviously different than having a checking account which can be emptied at any time without penalty and without having to go to the market to find a buyer, so there's a large maturity mismatch that's being incurred by your counterparty, RobinHood But RobinHood can make certain reasonably safe assumptions about the flow of capital into their various accounts, and adjust based on that. For example, while they're growing, every withdrawal will be matched by a great amount of deposits. So they'll always have the cash in hand to satisfy withdrawals. Of course, if they ever stop growing, that assumption no longer holds. But the very nature of startups is to bet on growth, even at the risk of potential bust (since failing to grow rapidly means failure). > The part where they pick up the pieces could take weeks or months; if you need the cash before then, you're in trouble. If you can afford to wait, you're right, no big deal. I don't expect RobinHood to go bankrupt tomorrow, but if they were wiped out as part of a wider financial crisis, it's possible that under those conditions you'll need access to your cash quicker than you think. Absolutely. I would keep an emergency fund in an FDIC-insured bank account somewhere else. |
You're right, inflation risk isn't particularly relevant when comparing treasuries vs checking accounts or cash. Those are all exposed.
> For example, while they're growing, every withdrawal will be matched by a great amount of deposits. So they'll always have the cash in hand to satisfy withdrawals.
Ha, if we can just assume they'll have money pouring in faster than withdrawals, even when markets experience turmoil, there's very little to worry about! I don't know exactly how sure we can be about that - or at least, for how long.
> Absolutely. I would keep an emergency fund in an FDIC-insured bank account somewhere else.
Wise, and it sounds like we're on the same page. All I was arguing is that there is some risk here that's being glossed over by selling it as just-another-checking-account-except-you-get-more-money. Maybe small/unlikely risk, but you're not getting 3% for free. You can always just go buy some IEF or TLT or actual treasuries too.