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by chadAnon69 2744 days ago
The big thing nobody talks about with Bolsonaro though is the geopolitical implications with China. US and Brazil could starve China into compliance as they produce around 80% of the worlds soy and corn. Nobody is talking about that aspect,the fact that brazil has non-socialist anti-China leader for the first time in decades, although Trump must be aware because he sent Bolton down to Brazil and invited Bolsonaro to the white house

It applies beyond China as well. They could just become OPEC for food and both countries would benefit from being able to jack up prices on crops and livestock.

3 comments

Well, Brazil had to sell those soybeans somewhere. Their economy is half bankrupt already anyway. If not China, where are going to send all the natural resources to, with its current price? Presumably not US, who is also desperate trying to sell its own gases/agricultural products to the world. They are competitors, not friends.

In worst case, China can just reduce the consumption of livestock, after all that is what soybeans had been used for, while finding replacements somewhere else. As long as they have enough rice, China will be fine.

China is fishing in all the planet and can exert a lot of influence over many countries in Africa. Chinese investors had spent more than $23 billion in Brazil in the last three years investing in energy and entering in the development of infrastructures. Would not be a wise move for the brazilian government.
Bolsonaro's big quote is that "China isn't investing in Brazil, it's buying brazil". If Trump offers Bolsonaro a good trade deal I wouldn't be surprised to see him take it to get away from China's influence
That is the accusation regarding the one belt one road. Some Africans are making the same accusations regarding their investments.
If there is a buyer, then there is a seller also.
>US and Brazil could starve China into compliance

Into compliance with what, exactly?

Trade blockade, and food in particular.

Russian farmers will be happy, once in a blue moon.

American interests
And those are?
Money, keeping China out

Here's a snippet about Africa, I'm sure South America is much more important for the US.

“We will make certain that ALL aid to the region - whether for security, humanitarian, or development needs - advances U.S. interests,” he said, adding that Washington will also re-evaluate its support for U.N. peacekeeping missions.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-africa/u-s-to-c...

trade, IP, muslim concentration camps, illegal island creation in south China sea, the list goes on.

Xi's power grab is only accepted because life is pretty good right now in China. He won't be able to maintain power over a billion hungry, angry chinese

I have a feeling that Muslim concentration camps is not on top of the list of issues that Trump or Bolsonaro are worried about...
Maybe if MBS starts to care about Uyghurs?
MBS doesn't care about Arabs in Yemen. Why would he start caring about Uyghurs half a continenet away?
Some of them form Salafist militias in Syria.
realpolitik, anything Trump can use to turn the international community against China will be used