Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by repsilat 2756 days ago
> How can something "suggest" a recession is "unavoidable." If its a suggestion, then by definition it isn't unavoidable.

Nonsense.

Say I have a coin that I suspect has heads on both sides. Instead of just checking the coin, I flip it ten times in a row and check the result -- ten heads. "Coin flips suggest 'heads' unavoidable."

The article is saying there is some situation in which a recession is unavoidable, and signs point to us being in that situation.

2 comments

My point is that we're talking about a prediction regarding something for which there will always be a degree of uncertainty. The reason the author is "suggesting" a recession is unavoidable is because there's no such thing as an unavoidable recession, just as there is no such thing as an unavoidable heads coin flip.
"60 percent of the time it works every time"