[darawk]

I think sub-1k btc is extremely unlikely. The history of BTC's growth and crashes is strikingly similar each time. It goes up 5-10x, then crashes to roughly 2x where it started, stays still for a while, and then repeats. I'd be willing to make a bet with you that it won't go under $2k by years end, if you'd like :)

[CommieBobDole]

How do you support the statement "It goes up 5-10x, then crashes to roughly 2x where it started, stays still for a while, and then repeats"? It was flat for a long time, it rapidly peaked at somewhere north of 19k, and has been on a fairly steady decline for most of the past year, with occasional price spikes.

If what you say was true, the price would be rising. Which it's not.

[darawk]

You seem to have chosen arbitrary time frames. You know that after 2013 it was stagnant for several years, right?

> then crashes to roughly 2x where it started,

I consider it to have started in the beginning of 2017, around $1k.

[CommieBobDole]

Fair enough, I was looking at a chart that apparently didn't go back that far. However, looking at another chart that goes back to mid 2010, I don't see it either.

Can you point me to a chart and time frame during which the behavior described was occurring? It looked like it did something sort of like that (but not at the magnitudes described) a couple of times in the runup to $19k in late 2017, and I see a big spike in late 2013, but I don't see any sort of real pattern of any type, other than the fairly consistent small price spike after a big drop that comes from people buying at bargain prices.

[darawk]

I can't find a great one...but if you go here:

https://99bitcoins.com/price-chart-history/

And click on 'all' and select 'logarithmic scale' (beneath the chart), you can see it fairly clearly.

[thanatos_dem]

If you make the bet in Bitcoin, losing is less damaging to you than winning is prosperous.

[darawk]

I'd be happy to make the bet in the currency of the grandparent's choosing. Crypto or otherwise.

[anothergoogler]

This could be us!

https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/9zvoe2/the_...

[darawk]

Haha totally. I was thinking of that as I made that comment. Would be happy to put funds in escrow though, as long as whatever it is is not too annoying.