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by jbnicolai
2810 days ago
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"Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence"
Always resonated with me as a good summary.Where a (naive) frequentist might assume, for instance, that after a 90% accurate test comes back positive the hypothesis is likely to be true, a Bayesianist would ask how likely it was to be true in the first place; all the test did was make it ten times more likely, which may or may not make it probable. You may enjoy https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XTXWPQSEgoMkAupKt/an-intuiti... |
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