[trendia]

> They get famous not because of their well thought out positions but because of their charisma

Studies have shown that people trust pundits with gumption, not well-thought out or balanced ideas. Superforecasting, one of my favorite books, discusses this at great depth: the people with the greatest foresight and ability to predict future political events are the least trusted or respected, since they often don't have clear and easily-identifiable positions, but rather make all sorts of caveats and restrictions on their beliefs. This makes their arguments more complicated and less easily broken down during a shouting match on live TV, so viewers don't believe them as much and instead focus on the pundits with the clear, singular, loud opinions instead. Unfortunately, those pundits are often wrong, their opinions lack nuance, and their political forecasts are worthless.