[wpietri]

So yes, Google can be very impressed with Google. But I'm not sure that's the issue here.

Is it really surprising that people who have extremely precise time needs and a whole team devoted to solving them would notice issues that other people wouldn't? I think it's a very common pattern that a product has some set of trailblazer users who find issues before the people who make the product.

Also, I think you're over-interpreting. "Had to" here only means that they noticed and reported the issue first because their system depended on GPS time being right. It doesn't preclude the possibility that the USAF would notice and fix the issue eventually, just with a higher latency that Google wanted.

[hosay123]

If some condition existed that exceeded GPS intended design, you most certainly wouldn't learn of it first from some random anecdote on HN.. more likely the front page of the BBC as the transportation system instantly collapses

So the anecdote itself is noise, it's intended to show how seriously intractable a problem accurate time is, but it doesn't do that, instead it only demonstrates OP's lack of familiarity with GPS and willingness to regurgitate corporate old wives' tales

[joshuamorton]

A single satellite mildly misbehaving on occasion won't necessarily cause catastrophe. You're normally connected to more than the requisite 3 satellites anyway, so you might notice less accuracy, but not anything terrible.

Most of these systems are designed to work if you lose GPS entirely, so they fail gracefully.

Planes won't actually fall out of the sky if GPS makes mistakes. That's y2k fearmongering.

Why is it hard to believe that a group using GPS for a unique purpose has unique needs and detect unique issues?

[cloudwizard]

https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-35491962

Could this be it?

[skrebbel]

Sub-millisecond flaws in GPS would make the transportation system collapse? Why?

[ihattendorf]

Here's an interesting article[1] about how relativity affects GPS satellites. The clock ticks in a GPS satellite need to be accurate to within 20-30 nanoseconds for accuracy, and they tick 38 microseconds/day faster to account for relativity.

[1] http://www.astronomy.ohio-state.edu/~pogge/Ast162/Unit5/gps....

[jandrese]

GPS is one of the few technologies that have to account for both Special Relativity and General Relativity. The level of engineering that went into the system is just amazing.

Fun fact, GPS satellites use rubidium clocks instead of cesium clocks, and only maintain their accuracy thanks to yet another incredible feat of engineering.

[dleslie]

Triangulation of location is bounded by the accuracy of those clocks.

1 microsecond is 300 meters of error.

[tzs]

What if all the satellites are off by the same amount?

According to the link posted higher up in the thread, in early 2016 they were all off by 13 microseconds for 12 hours, with no apparent consequences for anything ordinary people use GPS for such as location finding.

To triangulate, I think you need to know (1) where the satellites are, and (2) how far you are from each satellite. I think either absolute distance or relative distance works.

Getting both of these depends on knowing the time. That time comes from the satellites. Let's say they are all off by 1 us. Your time is derived from satellite time. That would mean the time you use to look up/calculate their positions will be off by 1 us from the correct time so you would get the wrong position for the satellites.

A quick Googling says the satellites orbital speed is 14000 km/hr, so using a time off by 1 us to look up/calculate satellite position would give you a position that is about 4 mm off.

The procedure for deriving the time from the satellites would get some extra error from this, but that should be limited to about the time it takes like to travel 4 mm, so we can ignore that. As a result your distance measurements between you and satellites would be off by about 4 mm or less.

The key here is that when all the satellites have the same error, the time you derive has the same error, so your distance calculations should still work, and so you only get an error of about how far satellites move in an interval equal to the time error.

In summary, if all the satellites are off by 1 us, your triangulation seems like it would be about 4 mm more uncertain.

If only one satellite is off, it is going to depend on how the time algorithm works. If the algorithm is such that it ends up with a time much closer to the times of the correct satellites than to the off satellite, then if it calculates the distance from the triangulated position to the expected positions of the satellites, and compares that to the measured distance, it should find that one is off by something on the order of the distance light travels in 1 us, and the others are all pretty close to where they should be. It should then be able to figure out that it has one unreliable satellite it, drop it, and then get the right location.

I have no idea if they actually take those kinds of precautions, though.

The case that would really screw it up would be if several satellites are off, but by different amounts. With enough observation it should be possible in many cases to even straighten that out, but it might be too complicated or too time consuming to be practical. (This is assuming that the error is that the satellites are simply set to the wrong time, but that wrong time is ticking at the right rate).

[ninkendo]

Precise geolocation relies on extreme time accuracy (the story always being that relativistic time dilation effects with the difference in gravity on the surface vs LEO must be accounted for), so yeah, it wouldn't surprise me one bit that the accuracy required is on the order of much less than a millisecond.

[21]

> Is it really surprising that people who have extremely precise time needs and a whole team devoted to solving them would notice issues that other people wouldn't

If GPS timing is bad, a lot of people will notice that their position on the map is incorrect, because that's the whole purpose of the GPS network.

A 1 microsecond error is 300 meters.

[zwegner]

> A 1 microsecond error is 300 meters.

While the speed-of-light propagation is about 300 meters in a microsecond, isn't the final position error possibly much greater? For calculating position on Earth, you can think about a sphere expanding at the speed of light from each satellite. The 1 microsecond error here corresponds to a radius 300m bigger or smaller, which only corresponds to 300m horizontal distance on the ground if the satellite is on the horizon (assuming that Earth is locally a flat plane for simplicity here). For a satellite directly overhead, the 300m error is a vertical distance. Calculating the difference in horizontal position from this error is then finding the length of a leg of a right triangle with other leg length D and hypotenuse length D+300m, where D is the orbital distance from the satellite (according to Wikipedia, 20180km). The final horizontal distance error is then sqrt((D+300)^2 - D^2), or about 110km.

Of course, this is just the effect of a 1us error in a single satellite, I'm sure there's ways to detect and compensate for these errors.

[21]

Intuitively this seems wrong to me. If the satellite is overhead, the error would put you 300m into the ground so to speak. I'm not sure why you project that horizontally, and especially why you take the distance to the satellite into account.

As another sanity check, if the error for 1 us is 110 km, the error for 1 ns would be 110 m, and I suspect 1 ns error is not unusual for consumer electronics:

> To reduce this error level to the order of meters would require an atomic clock. However, not only is this impracticable for consumer GPS devices, the GPS satellites are only accurate to about 10 nano seconds (in which time a signal would travel 3m)

https://wiki.openstreetmap.org/wiki/Accuracy_of_GPS_data

[zwegner]

> If the satellite is overhead, the error would put you 300m into the ground so to speak.

Right, I was basically calculating where that signal would just be reaching the surface at the same time it was 300m under you. This is a circle around you with a radius of ~110km (again using the approximation of the ground as a flat plane). Thinking about it more, there's not much reason to do this (GPS isn't really tied to the surface of the Earth, it gives you 3-D coordinates). I guess my point was that the 300m of distance from 1us of light propagation should not be thought of as a horizontal distance.

[SamReidHughes]

That would be if it were straight overhead, intersecting tangentially with another sphere. Realistically they're not overhead, but if two satellites are 30 degrees apart, the line of intersection between their spheres will move twice the distance one of the spheres moves. The magnifying factor is 1/sin(angle between the satellites from the observer).

[makomk]

If I remember correctly, there was a bug a couple of years back which caused an incorrect time offset between GPS and UTC time to be uploaded to some of the satellites - off by a handful of microseconds. Didn't affect navigation but it did trip a bunch of alerts on systems that relied on precise time. I don't think Google was the one that alerted the USAF to that though, in fact they may not have had sufficiently accurate timekeeping back then.

[21]

> Despite the flawed data set, there were no impacts to GPS positioning and navigation. Furthermore, GPS time (tGPS) was unaffected. Only a subset of the functions that make use of the GPS-UTC offset were affected.

https://www.gps.gov/systems/gps/performance/2016-UTC-offset-...

[mannykannot]

GPS is not typically used to confirm a position that is known accurately by other means, and that is not its purpose. Only in those cases where there is a manifest conflict with independent spatial information will the problem be evident.

[wongarsu]

>GPS is not typically used to confirm a position that is known accurately by other means

I am not so sure about that. The most common use of GPS is in satnav in cars. Satnavs typically show a map, and typically it is very easy to confirm your position on a map. Any inaccuracy by more than the usual few meters would be quickly noticed by the majority of GPS users.

[Rapzid]

People are going to notice a 300m deviation due to landmarks and their eyes.

[mannykannot]

Rarely, if you are navigating at sea or in the air or in the woods... and even on the road, it is not uncommon for my GPS device to be clearly off without justifying the conclusion that there is a fault in a satellite.

[Rapzid]

Here are some users that have a high chance of noticing visually and in aggregate would probably produce a lot of noise:

* Air and sea port operators and navigators

* Military personal running supply lines

* Military personal on foot in operations and training

* Space-X

* NASA

* River boats

* Fresh water fishermen

* Etc

Out of all the possible users who would notice a 300m deviation just based on visual reconciliation, I personally would not say it would be so rare that the USAF would not find out very quickly. Of course, this is ignoring the equipment that would likely detect the issue way before somebody in the Army started phoning the USAF.

[emiliobumachar]

Come on, in urban traffic a 300m error will easily place one in a parallel street.

[gregdunn]

Unless I'm woefully off base here, if the satellites were incorrect, you would basically be permanently 300m off, not just temporarily.

There's not so many GPS satellites out there that you're going to be bouncing around them all the time - even if only one is affected, it would be very noticeable for extended periods of time.