[alexanderdmitri]

How is no analysis just as good?

It's hard to believe that the percentage of successes with no analysis is GTE the percentage of successes with some analysis.

[ACow_Adonis]

I presume because faulty analysis or bad data can actually get you more off track than when its just a "back of the napkin" based guess or hunch.

And additionally, you now have the pride/confidence thing in your even worse results because you did "analysis"...

[jacobush]

Often the pride is constant.