[Skrillex]

I will probably continue to get the Monty Hall problem wrong for the foreseeable future despite understanding the logic. I think the issue with it for me is the difference between probability and calculated probability (which I do not think is a proper mathematical term).

Like...when someone makes reference to a given probability X "changing" from ~33% to ~67%, they are referring to the updated model that we use to calculate the probability. Nothing in reality has changed, but rather the model has.