[AnthonyAguirre]

A real challenge for prediction markets (with real-money stakes) will be to get sufficient liquidity on relatively small-ticket items outside of sports and politics.

For such items platforms like metaculus.com and Good Judgement seem more likely to provide more useful predictions, but without the ability to hedge against events that prediction markets have.

I discuss this in depth in this podcast: http://rationallyspeakingpodcast.org/show/rs-214-anthony-agu...