| This was listed as, I think, a positive but I see it as an extreme negative. Why invest in your company if you don't have the conviction that it will be worth more 3-6 months from now. You are thinking as a potential new investor, and your interests are not aligned with employees and early investors. Employees and early investors have had what is likely to be a large fraction of their net worth tied up in one company for a long time. They have a clear incentive to take some of that money out and diversify their risk. You, as an outside potential investor, are looking to put a small fraction of your net worth into a hopefully good opportunity. Yes, you would like to believe that everyone who owns the stock believes in it with their heart and soul, and wants to invest in it forever. And yes, you would like to have the supply of stock limited as long as possible by keeping insiders out of the market. While you're continuing to wish, you'd wish that all employees were happy, and productive, with no desire to ever do anything by slave away creating value. None of these wishes are reasonable from the point of view of real people who have sacrificed years of their life creating the company that you're looking at. I think they are right but they really have no proof that they avoided the IPO pop discount. They actually opened trading at $165.90 and closed at $149.01. You are trivially right that they can't PROVE that they would have had to pay a pop discount the other way, but the odds are that they would have. Typically the pop is 15-30% on the first day. That's a lot of money. |
All I said was its very reasonable, as evidenced by the fact that every IPO over the past 40 years has had a lockup, to have a 3-6 month hold period for existing share holders when you go public.
That's it. I( and GOOG, FB, AMZN, SNAP, and the rest of the entire tech community that went public ) all believe that a 3- 6 month hold window is a very reasonable ask given that they all had one.
Sorry if I confused you, I hope this clears things up:)