[whatyoucantsay]

Highly unlikely. Ever since the US Congress passed a Taiwan Relations Act, military defense of Taiwan is a enshrined in law. Furthermore, Taiwan is a fully democratic nation with a population slightly larger than that of Australia.

The entire crux of post WWII US geopolitical strategy rests on a promise to defend Japan, Korea the Philippines, Taiwan and various other territories in exchange for those territories not pursuing nuclear weapons or aggressive military forces of their own. In the very unlikely even that the US chose not to defend Taiwan despite the TRA, Japan, Korea, Thailand and half a dozen other neighboring countries would nuclearize within weeks, days or even hours.

This would be a nightmare scenario not only from the US perspective but also from China's.

[lookACamel]

> slightly larger than that of Australia.

This is false. It's slightly smaller.

[whatyoucantsay]

"A couple of years out of date" would be the more generous way to say "false". Australia very recently grew past Taiwan's population.