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by bumholio 2891 days ago
This is not an assassination market, it's a prediction market, but it can well work as an assassination market. If an universally reviled person has an 1:2 bet against him, this would not incentivize killers to take the huge risks of an assassination only to double their money.

Instead, they would be incentivized to kill other persons for whom players are betting they will live. On the other hand, players know that, so they will never bet against an assassination, except in the case they really do want to lose, thus transferring their loses as payment to the assassin.