[ernesth]

Japan went out in Round_16

Croatia went out in Finals

And I do not understand what the last column means (except for France and teams out in group phase)

[Sean1708]

Urgh, I hate that you can't edit HN comments.

First two were just me making a mistake because I write that in manually.

That last column makes no sense. It was supposed to be the probability that the model gave to the outcome that occurred, but I got the maths wrong.

[sctb]

There's an edit window of a couple hours, which has probably just past. We've opened it up again so you can go ahead and edit.

[Sean1708]

Brilliant, thank you very much. Although it might be a tad late now.