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by kryptiskt 2889 days ago
For example: Croatia got to the final via two penalty shootouts, which is very much like coin flipping.
1 comments

Can't you put probabilities on that though? What you said is basically "impossible to predict, because one or the other might score more goals, so it's like coin flipping."
You can put probabilities on it, but the chance a game ends tied is rather high to begin with. 25% of this years knockout games were draws, and a 1/4 chance the game is decided by a coin flip is already enough to ruin predictions.