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by pmulv 2907 days ago
I think it's pretty safe to say finance will be a big one. Finance has a large amount of individuals and firms researching the applications of ML methodologies to financial indicators. With the semi-recent rise of quant firms, I think this research is only going to get more aggressive, and HFT will become more lucrative and more automated as long as regulation does not get in the way.
2 comments

HFT - yes. But longer-term investment (i.e. Buffett - or even with a horizon of a couple of years) is unlikely to be transformed soon - ML needs vast historical data, which is very slow to generate. Waiting 10 years only gives you 10 years of history, which is 5 non-overlapping 2-year forward returns, and maybe 1 or 2 economic/financial regimes.

This is also a problem with new datasets being generated - there is not nearly enough history available to test them or feed them to a ML system.

Furthermore, arguably, longer-term investment requires forward-looking modelling of scenarios, based on the kinds of inputs that were not seen in history. ML is not very applicable when you get big covariate shifts.

So I would say human financial analysts are not going anywhere, and any improvements would be relatively small and incremental.

HFT is not profitable. Its completely commoditized.
I would think commoditization of HFT is impossible by definition due to the fundamentally competitive zero-sum nature of securities markets.