[mindcrime]

Why would you think there is an AI Winter upon us?? From my subjective viewpoint, I don't feel like I've seen any evidence of that. If anything, AI (in a general sense) seems to be hotter than ever.

What evidence is there for an notion of a developing (or existent) AI Winter at the current moment?

[bad_ramen_soup]

I was referring to this article that was pretty well circulated: https://venturebeat.com/2018/06/04/the-ai-winter-is-well-on-...

It seems as if there is a gap between what we're expecting AI to achieve in a short period of time and what it's actually achieving.

[mindcrime]

Yeah, that one article is all I've seen. And IMO, it doesn't even come close to making any kind of case for an actual "AI Winter". Especially in comparison to everything else we see around us. AI is still very much in the news, AI companies are being founded, and acquired, etc. AI (in the form of Deep Learning in particular) is being used to create value today, even if it has been oversold to a point (and yes, it probably has).

Of course, the interesting thing about predicting an upcoming AI Winter (or "bubble collapse", or recession, etc.) is that you will eventually be right if you keep predicting it long enough. I certainly can't say an AI Winter isn't coming, but I am unconvinced that one has stared or is imminent.

[bad_ramen_soup]

I supposed it's really hard to know if there is an AI winter because if a company/research body has made big advances, then it's possible they are still in testing mode before rolling it out and don't want anyone to know about it until it's good to launch.