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by oh_sigh 2922 days ago
Everyone has a 'reason' why Trump was elected, but for some reason people can only see this in a post-hoc fashion. How many people were talking about 'the reason Trump will be elected' before Nov 8th 2016? It's easy to backport your beliefs onto known events, but you really have no basis for believing it to be a better than random predictor of the future.
1 comments

Here's one such person that seems to have a better claim in that regard:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scott_Adams#2016_United_States...

It comes with bad news (last paragraph):

http://blog.dilbert.com/2017/07/30/the-turn-to-effective-but...

I frankly don't get what the problem is. The tax reform was a given (Ms. Clinton was also talking about it). The borders thing was a given (Obama was already doing most of it, including separating children by the way), and as for the wall paid by Mexico ... I'm not seeing it, nor do I see the chances in a good light. The trade war with China ... again ... started by Obama, and Hillary was certainly not talking about rolling it back. So again this would have been a difference in degree at best, certainly not a turnaround (and euhm ... I actually agree with the trade-war. The situation with China for the past 10 years simply cannot continue).

With Trump the rhetoric changed quite a bit. But that's about it.