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by noahmbarr
2928 days ago
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Short term, direct leases scare thee crap out of institutional landlords. It impacts the surety of the building's income stream, which is reflected in the assets' "cap rate" and therefore valuation. Also, due to protracted lease negotiations and brokerage model (both tenant and landlord brokers get paid based on the total lease payments), there isn't motivation for shorter term leases. Just ask anyone who has a small lease requirement that is in a stable, non-VC backed company -- no tenant rep broker wants to take this work on because there is no money in that transaction, there's not that much less work than required vs a larger lease requirement, and no promise of a bigger deal with that company down the road in case they become the next Dropbox.... So 3 out of the 4 involved parties are not motivated to shorten lease term. The only one who wants shorter leases are the tenant. |
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Where is the WeWork moat? Buildout? Reception clerk? Meeting room reservation software? Demand forecast?
At some point the VCs will stop pouring money into it, WeWork will have to charge the full price, and then any old group of people with money can build a local WeWork clone. And unlike WeWork they won't be saddled with expectations of paying a return on the multi-billion investment spent on subsidies.